Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 75.443318 84.760430 94.319963 104.830380 116.031176 127.581788 140.364341
2024-12-22 60.986703 74.276819 88.551204 104.897244 122.976479 142.248521 164.233617
2024-12-29 53.043555 68.605796 85.884901 106.237559 129.311472 154.435940 183.642779
2025-01-05 47.412965 64.682027 84.417158 108.218524 135.749915 166.236875 202.198912
2025-01-12 41.277792 59.452706 80.829120 107.205004 138.296221 173.262149 215.054654
2025-01-19 35.400229 53.944617 76.403534 104.745419 138.765862 177.587081 224.556295
2025-01-26 33.295198 52.923623 77.212325 108.359984 146.225854 189.869638 243.111399
2025-02-02 31.005721 51.432965 77.257284 110.896080 152.289352 200.450805 259.657694
2025-02-09 27.455281 47.960194 74.552223 109.825772 153.834818 205.585182 269.750400
2025-02-16 24.311167 44.770688 71.990358 108.741504 155.204182 210.387877 279.357110
2025-02-23 22.259190 42.945590 71.082525 109.644524 158.934166 217.955867 292.199533
2025-03-02 20.014779 40.647300 69.390399 109.410431 161.149955 223.627235 302.735316
2025-03-09 18.246427 38.947962 68.452316 110.140760 164.602585 230.868338 315.268867
2025-03-16 16.060164 36.406859 66.198950 109.014734 165.615931 235.073862 324.121336
2025-03-23 14.881691 35.369250 65.998329 110.583121 170.042591 243.464953 338.044099
2025-03-30 13.925577 34.612317 66.143962 112.580926 175.002255 252.512887 352.780912
2025-04-06 12.259620 32.482687 64.154391 111.547705 175.937732 256.490383 361.278743
2025-04-13 10.404837 29.807383 61.190309 109.026248 174.810288 257.797710 366.428566
2025-04-20 10.136563 30.028046 62.640974 112.730431 181.953141 269.572529 384.552733
2025-04-27 9.643682 29.773200 63.325342 115.328597 187.617834 279.483256 400.389753
2025-05-04 8.427165 27.972352 61.486502 114.232156 188.269321 282.974354 408.218885
2025-05-11 7.327126 26.262185 59.692524 113.121309 188.841394 286.322245 415.841698
2025-05-18 6.689440 25.449141 59.310377 114.046471 192.164996 293.201148 427.896392